Resistance costs less...
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This time, the situation was different, and the Syrians paid no attention to Iran’s advice. Naturally, Iran cannot and does not wish to engage directly in a situation where its interests are not being met. Thus, it can be said that the Syrian regime’s disregard for Iran’s demands was one of the reasons for the fall of the Assad regime.
During recent trips by Iranian officials, including Ali Larijani’s visit to Syria, it became apparent that Assad had fallen for the promises of others—promises of support for him if he were to abandon cooperation with Iran.
At first glance, the developments leading to the regime change in Syria seem to have unfolded quickly, but the lack of resistance from the army indicates that these developments were the result of long-term planning. Moreover, it is clear that Assad refused to hear the demands of his own people, who were under economic and livelihood pressure. Consequently, the people did not resist and looked satisfied with the ouster of the Assad government. However, in my view, the people were also deceived. In the northern regions of Syria, under Turkish and some Arab countries’ influence, better conditions were provided to the population. The Syrians under Assad’s rule compared their situation with these regions and were thus content with the regime change.
In summary, the fall of the Assad regime was due to Assad’s own deception, the people’s frustration with the current situation, the disregard of Iran’s advice and warnings, and the long-term planning and conspiracies by external forces.
Regarding the future of Syria and Iran’s relations with the country, we must wait and see how events unfold. Afghanistan serves as a good example. Today, Iran does not have major issues with the Afghan government, but Afghanistan is not considered a close ally of Iran. Our relationship with the current Afghan government is certainly not comparable to our very close ties with Iraq.
Some believe Iran has incurred significant costs and suffered losses due to the regime change in Syria. However, However, it should not be assumed that the costs we have borne for resistance are greater than those we would pay for any compromise. Iran’s measures over the years in the war against ISIS and terrorist groups in Syria and Iraq have prevented their influence from spreading to our country and other regions, keeping our enemies at bay. In the case of today’s development in Syria, if we wait a little longer, it will become clear that Iran will not be a loser in this scenario either.