Conspiracy behind Lebanon ...
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So far, 180 villages in southern Lebanon have reportedly been occupied or destroyed by the Israeli army, and this is regarded as a serious threat to Lebanon.
In addition, Lebanon’s constitution explicitly states that Lebanese governments should not negotiate with or sign agreements with Israel. Therefore, this constitutes a clear violation of Lebanon’s constitution.
However, President Joseph Aoun, Prime Minister Nawaf Salam and Foreign Minister Youssef Raji are the three figures who, under the influence of domestic circumstances as well as pressure from certain Arab countries and the United States, agreed to this course of action and signed the agreement with Israel. This could pose a serious threat to Lebanon’s internal security.
Hezbollah has criticized the understanding. In your view, what are Hezbollah’s primary concerns regarding this agreement?
Given that the Lebanese army fundamentally lacks the necessary capability to safeguard Lebanese citizens in the south, a responsibility that falls on Hezbollah, it appears that the next phase will involve efforts to disarm the group. This could represent a serious threat to the security of the Lebanese people, particularly those living in southern Lebanon.
Hezbollah will certainly not lay down its arms. However, there appears to be a plan to deploy forces affiliated with self-proclaimed Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa in southern Lebanon to establish a security belt for Israel. Israel, the United States and several Arab countries are reportedly consulting with Ahmed al-Sharaa on this matter.
This is considered a serious danger because any confrontation between forces affiliated with Ahmed al-Sharaa and Hezbollah could set off a civil and regional war.
If the understanding is fully implemented, is a deeper rift between the Lebanese government and Hezbollah likely, or will both sides be compelled to reach some form of internal compromise?
The demonstrations that have already begun indicate that the majority of the Lebanese people and many political groups oppose the agreement.
Hezbollah is certainly opposed to it as well, although it has so far exercised restraint. Nevertheless, Lebanese citizens are currently taking to the streets to protest against the agreement. So, a compromise seems unlikely.
What consequences will this agreement have for the Axis of Resistance?
Naturally, weakening Hezbollah means weakening the Axis of Resistance. This represents a serious threat to the Islamic resistance movements in the region, and that is, in fact, the very objective.
The purpose behind the Lebanon-Israel agreement is to disarm Hezbollah. After that, the same scenario could be rolled out against other regional resistance movements, such as Popular Mobilization Forces in Iraq and Ansarallah in Yemen, with the aim of disarming them as well.
This is an effort to remove the Axis of Resistance as a whole from the region and from the struggle against Israel.