June 2026 US-Iran ...
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In a traditional security environment, in which the US managed to recycle geopolitical course corrections through financial instruments such as sovereign debt or reconstruction projects, the probability of Washington writing peace terms would have remained high. However, it is precisely this power that Iran contests, shielded by its legitimacy of aggressed party.
Should patterns be of significance, then it must be emphasized that the US started JCPOA with a team and finished it alone. Similarly, the US started the war on Iran in February 2026, and reportedly aims to finish it alone. On these roads, peace mediators such as Oman and Switzerland were replaced with Pakistan: the US is not isolated, but they are certainly not pursuing the goals in a stable formation. Consequently, while Pakistani efforts are visible, a breakthrough needs to account for the instability that precedes its mediation bid.
The regional peace that Iran demands extended to Israel as well, particularly Lebanon, preventing thus the US from signing a semi-peace. The display of discord among American and Israeli leaders would theoretically allow the US to limit its deal with Iran at matters excluding Israeli affairs, but exposing Israel to a war with Iran in which the US might have less leverage. The implementation of such a peace is thus highly unlikely, as the sole and by far the most consistent US geopolitical goal in the region after 1948 was Israel’s security.
As rivers of declarations on the potential termination of the US (and Israeli) war on Iran flood public stage, and both camps claim the pursuit of peace, the hints of aligning realities in a comprehensible manner fail to take center stage. Each camp, or member of a camp, climbs its parallel ladder in order to gain the upper position in its projected reality. There are thus three ladders, and only two contestants that agreed to have Pakistan trying to merge their realities, all moves impacting global affairs in unprecedented manner. In these genuine, yet depthless, efforts to reach an agreement, the trade of small coins for small outcomes cannot be more evident.
Therefore, while craving for peace, both the US and Iran remain committed to a confrontation of realities, still aiming to impose rather than reconcile differences, which is the very definition of disagreement, not agreement.