Saudi Arabia sincere ...
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Iran-US relations have been through many ups and downs over the past four decades, ranging from outright hostility to limited dialogue and occasional breakthroughs in easing tensions. In such a climate, even establishing a normal relationship calls for a shift in approach and some tough, intricate negotiations.
The prevailing sentiment at home is one of support for diplomacy; while hardliners persist, their sway is minimal in the current climate. On the US side, internal divisions run deeper. Yet, but with Donald Trump in the White House, congressional backing, and his distinctive style, many of Washington’s statements come across as negotiating tactics rather than final positions.
Therefore, observers should do well to ride out the highs and lows of the talks with patience and care, steering clear of jumping to conclusions. At this juncture, the spotlight should be squarely kept on official statements from the Iranian negotiating team, and unofficial opinions and commentary should be played down. Bolstering the Iranian team’s confidence and creating breathing room for them can help bring about greater achievements. With this approach, it is hoped that talks will bear fruit in a more favorable atmosphere.
Despite the checkered history between Iran and Saudi Arabia—sometimes bitter, sometimes sweet—a calm and conflict-free Iran and region is, by and large, preferable for Saudi Arabia and all Persian Gulf Arab states. Riyadh would jump at such a scenario, though this does not mean any party will give up its interests for the other, especially Iran. Tehran must continue to define and pursue its interests on a win-win basis, in line with the shifting sands of today’s international order.
Saudi Arabia is genuine in its stance on ironing out issues between Iran and the US, and stands to gain far more from this process than it might lose. Some pundits, both inside and outside Iran, argue that improved Iran-US ties could cramp Saudi Arabia’s style in certain areas. Yet, what Riyadh stands to gain from a possible diplomatic breakthrough far outweighs any potential loss.
Should Iran and the US strike a deal, Saudi Arabia is likely to fall into step with Iran. But should the talks fall flat, the landscape will be entirely different and must be addressed in due course. With Trump’s regional tour and Araghchi’s visit to Saudi Arabia now in play, it is hard to imagine that Iran-Saudi talks would sidestep the Iran-US negotiations. Iran will certainly have advice for Saudi Arabia, and Riyadh will have its own views to put on the table. Such consultations are not only timely, but absolutely vital.