What is Iraqi ...
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Therefore, weakening or destroying the military capabilities of such groups could be presented as an immediate objective for Washington and Tel Aviv. However, some evidence suggests that Washington has recently prevented direct Israeli attacks on Iraq, resulting in pressures on Sudani and the Coordination Framework to seize the opportunity to disarm the resistance groups. It is not unexpected that rumors about a political regime change in Iraq represent targeted efforts to pressure the premier and the Coordination Framework to accept fundamental changes, such as disarmament or the integration of factions into the army.
The issue of collecting weapons from the resistance groups and handing them over to the government, which has been seriously raised and emphasized by Shia religious authorities like Grand Ayatollah Sistani, the leader of the Hikmat movement, and Motallebi Sadr, reflects Iraq’s concerns about being involuntarily drawn into regional conflicts. Baghdad, especially after the escalation of Israeli actions and heavy attacks on resistance groups in Gaza and Lebanon, and its direct confrontation with Iran, believes that these groups might unnecessarily drag the country into tensions that would offer no benefits to Iraq.
Therefore, it is expected that one of the main pillars of Sudani’s negotiations with senior Iranian officials will be persuading the resistance groups to disarm. This request is not only the demand of the Iraqi government but also enjoys the support of the Coordination Framework.
In the current regional environment, Sudani and the Coordination Framework are striving to convince Iran regarding the new conditions in Syria and to align Tehran’s perspective on the Arab country’s developments and its new leadership with that of other regional countries. After Tehran, Sudani will travel to Qatar. Given Doha’s good relations with Tehran and the Syrian groups, it appears that the Iraqi premier will request Qatari authorities to facilitate, in line with these efforts, the groundwork for a relative rapprochement between Tehran and Damascus or at least a reduction in tensions between them.
On the eve of Donald Trump’s return to power, Sudani is undertaking serious diplomatic efforts to reduce regional tensions, as any instability in the region could have direct and negative consequences for Iraq and even increase the likelihood of terrorism returning to the country.
Ultimately, the successful holding of the upcoming Arab League summit in Baghdad, which will be the first summit without Bashar al-Assad’s presence, holds special significance for Iraq. Issues related to Syria and the Gaza war will be among its main topics. Utilizing these opportunities, along with threats and active diplomacy, Sudani aims to strengthen Iraq’s position, secure the maximum benefits for the country, and keep it away from potential regional threats.