Hezbollah will not...
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Netanyahu thinks that ultimately, he will either emerge as a victorious war hero or, if he fails to achieve his goals, he will meet the same fate as Golda Meir, the former Israeli prime minister, who was forced to step down from power and politics.
However, the Hezbollah movement has evolved into a well-defined and complex organization with both a political and military wing over the past three decades under Nasrallah’s leadership. The organization’s military might may even surpass that of some regional armies. This cohesive and organized entity did not come into being overnight through the efforts of one individual, and it will not be wiped out overnight with the assassination of its leader. While it may suffer some damage in the wake of recent assassinations, particularly the assassination of its top leader, as it has had its natural ups and downs throughout its existence, what is vivid is that Hezbollah will not be eradicated, especially given the tribal ties within the organization that contribute to its continuity.
Netanyahu has been using the pretext of ensuring Israel’s and the region’s security to launch extensive attacks on the Gaza Strip and southern Lebanon over the past year. Now, it may seem that by eliminating Hezbollah’s leader, he will achieve his goal. However, regional security depends on various factors, including the roles different actors play, from small players like guerrilla groups to state actors and regional players like Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Iran, and Israel, as well as international players like Europe, the US, China, and Russia.
A major part of the region’s future trajectory depends on the Arab world’s reaction, which has so far stayed on the sidelines and is now expected to respond. With all this, one thing is clear: regional security cannot be guaranteed through war, just as Israel’s security cannot be guaranteed through these deadly attacks on the Gaza Strip and southern Lebanon.
As long as the Palestinian issue remains unresolved, the current conflicts will continue in various forms. Palestine is a key international issue. A set of actors must reach a consensus on the Palestinian issue for the region to see security. Logically, Israel will not have any guarantee of security even after all these killings and assassinations.