Russian delegation’s ...
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Iran’s new president Masoud Pezeshkian has clearly emphasized the importance of strengthening relations with Russia and China, both in his announced plans and in an article outlining his government’s foreign policy. Therefore, Shoigu’s visit to Tehran shortly after the Iranian government’s inauguration should be viewed as a sign that both countries remain committed to fostering their relationship.
As a former defense minister, Shoigu is well-versed in the two countries’ collaboration in the military sector, as well as the regional developments and tensions. This provides an opportunity to highlight another aspect of the Russian delegation’s visit to Iran and its significance.
The Russians have maintained a clear stance during the months-long Gaza war as well as the assassination of Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran. They have condemned the targeted killing and called for restraint on both sides, striving to prevent an escalation of tensions.
Given Tehran’s announcement that it will respond to Israel’s terrorist act, it is understandable that many countries, including Russia, would be keen to weigh the dimensions and repercussions of such a response.
It is true that the Gaza war and its prolongation served as a “breather” for Russia in the Ukraine war. It shifted the media and public attention from Ukraine to the Gaza Strip and redirected some of the Western aid, particularly from the US, from Ukraine to Israel. If forced to choose between Ukraine and Israel, the US would naturally opt for Israel. Thus, the Gaza war somewhat eroded the West’s position in the Ukraine conflict, and Russia took advantage of this opportunity. However, this does not imply that Moscow supports the escalation of conflict in the West Asian region.
Currently, the world, particularly West Asia, is fraught with tensions that could spark larger wars, drawing in major powers, including the US, which might be compelled to step in directly to support Israel. Such a scenario would not only be detrimental to the region but also to the powers influencing West Asian developments, such as China and Russia. Their interests in this region would also be put at risk by escalating conflicts. Therefore, the Russians are keen to dial down the tensions.