IVANOV: The 2023 expansion of BRICS has resulted in new political narratives. These narratives span a spectrum, between perspectives that emphasize the continuity of the existing global order on the one end and those that note the dawn of a new era and the conclusion of a unipolar world on the other.
Up-to-date economic data show a notable shift in the global macro-economy, marked by the rise of BRICS and a relative decline of G7 countries. However, it is a more complex and nuanced picture. In terms of trade, BRICS controls a significant share of the world’s crucial resources such as oil, gas, and critical minerals, but the G7 continues to maintain a disproportionate share of global goods and services trade, despite experiencing a gradual decline relative to the BRICS over time. The G7 countries also remain the dominant investor, resulting in their technological superiority and trade advantage. It is evident that the world is changing but in more complex and nuanced ways than what is often portrayed, challenging the oversimplified narratives.
In light of the BRICS countries’ efforts to promote the use of local currencies, how might this challenge the US dollar hegemony in global trade?
This could be a milestone in the history of BRICS, an alliance of newly industrialized countries formed in 2001. According to information circulated by the Russian Embassy in Kenya, current BRICS members (i.e. Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Iran, and Ethiopia) have repeatedly expressed their intention to introduce their own currency. It would be backed by gold and/or other raw materials such as silver or rare earth metals. From the point of view of BRICS states, the creation of their own currency would facilitate international trade. But above all, de-dollarization will make the Global South more independent of the much-weakened reserve currency (the US dollar) and help the emergence of a multipolar world order.
Is BRICS likely to emerge as a major rival to longstanding power blocs such as the G7, and what could be the broader ramifications for international relations and global decision-making?
As the BRICS countries represent the world’s majority and strive to preserve and further develop their growing and diverse economies, they are alarmed by a persisting increase of power imbalances and structural inequalities in the global economy. Dominant players, most notably those in the Western world, that abuse their economic power undermine the fragile foundations of the interconnected globalized economic order that is supposed to rest on equality, equity, and the mutual respect of its participants. These abuses suppress healthy competition, hinder the smooth functioning of global markets, and reduce the efficiency and resilience of the global economy. This leads to economic imbalances that directly harm the most vulnerable people in the BRICS countries. Abuse of economic power and crippling monopolization disrupt the smooth functioning of global value chains, create unnecessary bottlenecks and disparity in bargaining positions, deter both innovation and proliferation of technologies, and lead to exploitation of consumers and exclusion of small and medium-sized entrepreneurs.
Global competition agenda is based on the dominant (Western) narrative, and the BRICS academia is under-represented in the market of ideas often due to the lack of demand for BRICS-focused research. Addressing the current complex reality requires an effective platform for new BRICS thinking and academic research with the aim of adding diversity and new voices to the global market of ideas.
Now that Iran has joined the BRICS bloc, how might this help the Middle Eastern country offset Western sanctions and bolster its economy through increased energy trade and cooperation with key member states like China and Russia?
Iran stands to benefit on two fronts from a future full integration in BRICS: increased legitimacy despite domestic unrest and more trade with growing economies. The first benefit provides the Iranian government with diplomatic inclusion in yet another global process from a political standpoint. The second benefit, however, is economic in nature and allows the government to broaden its trade relations with the BRICS member states. This potential would be particularly advantageous if the Iranian government could sell oil at its desired volume. Practically speaking, the US faces a significant challenge in imposing sanctions on several nations once they are engaged in trade with Iran, as BRICS will collectively represent nearly half of the world’s population. That being said, the Iranian government also has the potential to boost its oil and non-oil exports to BRICS members.
Russia also has a lot to learn from Iran in overcoming sanctions. In 2023, Prof. Mohammadreza Seyed-Nourani, chairman of the National Competition Council of the Islamic Republic of Iran, gave a guest lecture at the BRICS Competition Law and Policy Centre, at the Higher School of Economics in Moscow. He noted that the political unity of the country was the foundation of its successful development under sanctions and at the same time emphasized that the protection of competition within Iran is of great importance. Prof. Seyed-Nourani noted that any monopoly limits the capabilities of the state. If any structure inside Iran acquires a monopoly position, it can only serve as a source of abuse, and it is very important that the fight against monopolism in Iran is based on the ideas of Islam, which considers competition an important condition for the discovery of the individual.
In what ways does the growth of BRICS affect the strategic alliances and economic partnerships within and beyond the bloc? What are the potential consequences of maintaining the traditional power structures in international relations?
Without healthy competition, market economies run out of steam and lose energy. This happens, as a rule, due to the concentration of market power “in the hands of one” — whether it is the result of collusion or other monopolizations of markets. Holding all or most of the market power allows privileged market participants to act not according to a competitive, but a monopolistic logic, parasitizing consumers and other participants of economic relations. It cannot be said that the architects of the modern regulation system of the world economy do not understand this. Initially, the design of the World Trade Organization (WTO) contained a universal agreement on the protection of competition in the global economy, similar to the Agreement on Trade-Related Aspects of Intellectual Property Rights (TRIPS), which introduced uniform standards of intellectual property protection for all WTO member countries. Such uniform standards of competition protection at the world level could well balance the processes of globalization.
The BRICS countries are an interesting group of economies that are united by the fact that, for a number of reasons, they are not members of the “closed clubs” of the “capitalist core” countries. In many ways, they are strangers to the US, the EU, and their closest allies that are still dominant in international affairs. And each country is alien to this close group for different reasons and to different degrees.
The grouping has many differences — economic, social, and geopolitical. However, it is precisely because of their differences that the BRICS countries can agree on what they do not want the world economy to be. And the key word that already unites them on this issue is “multipolarity” — in other words, the diversity of formats, ways, and means of organizing economic life. What the BRICS countries lack is diversity in global economic life. There are too many rigid forms imposed by the dominant group. Such a struggle for diversity is not very profitable for the dominant actors, as it reduces their monopolistic rents. However, a more diverse, multi-format organization system of the world economy seems to be important for countries that are already capable of competing at the global level but are in a less advantageous position due to this mono-organization of the world economic system.