New York Jews ...
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October 7 marked a pivotal event for the United States. It was not an unforeseen incident for the US. Now, Washington seeks to create a controlled tension through this event to secure its long-term interests. Since September 11, the US has pursued three specific agendas for West Asia: Creating insecurity, creating a balance in the countries’ weaknesses, and ensuring relative security.
The invasion of Afghanistan and Iraq was the stage of exporting insecurity to the region. Proxy wars utilizing oil money of certain regional countries helped the establishment of a balance of weakness in the US’s favor. Israel serves as a military stronghold for the US in region. Now, in the third stage, the US is seeking to create a state of relative security in order to manage its long-term policies against Iran and China.
Do you mean that the US is trying to establish a cease-fire in Gaza by creating a relative security? Do you believe that this cease-fire is a form of preparation for confronting Iran and China?
Yes. US strategic objectives include restraining Iran while controlling China. China takes priority for the US; however, Iran is the US’s primary problem. That’s because US interests in the 21st century greatly depend on its presence and influence in the new heartland, centered on the Iranian plateau.
Currently, the US has put the West Asia region, Iran, and even the international system in a state of “suspended war”. This war spans from the Caucasus region to the Persian Gulf, West Asia, and continues to Taiwan. Within the framework of this suspended war, the US first aims to establish a relative security in the New Heartland.
The visits by American officials to the region, including Antony Blinken and Jake Sullivan, along with expert teams, are aimed at paving the ground for creating relative security.
Does the establishment of relative security and the realization of US goals hinge on resolving the Israeli-Palestinian conflict?
Certainly. I am not pessimistic about the resolution of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. How have Arab nations, as supporters of Palestine, reacted to Israel’s atrocities against Palestinians in recent months? Not much. Contrary to some predictions that assumed October 7 would mark the end of Arab-Israeli normalization, discussions now revolve around the resumption of Israel’s normalization of ties with Saudi Arabia. Capitals of the Arab countries have been hosting representatives from the US and Israel to end the conflict in Gaza. While Israel opposes the establishment of a Palestinian state, the United States and Britain insist on the creation of an independent Palestinian state. Recent news suggests that negotiations have made progress in ending the conflict. These developments indicate the US is trying to resolve the Arab-Israeli issue.
Americans have advocated for a two-state solution for many years, but Israel has yet to accept this idea. Do you believe the US can exert pressure on Israel to accept the independent state of Palestine this time?
Israel is no longer an important partner for the US. It remains an ally, but under US’s 21st-century strategy, Israel no longer holds a strategic ally status. America’s doctrine concerning the region and the Israel-Palestine issue is a strong and manageable Israel and the establishment of a weak Palestinian state.
Even Britain, which played a significant role in Israel’s formation, now insists on recognizing the independent state of Palestine. Therefore, Netanyahu does not have the final say here. While the Jewish lobby wields influence in the US, New York Jews will ultimately control Tel Aviv Jews.