Assessment of the Situation
By Yasser al-Khawaja
Palestinian journalist
Perhaps the enemy will present, after this painful blow, a detailed analysis of its entity, especially the security establishment that collapsed at the doorstep of that operation, which the Zionist enemy might not have expected, even in its wildest dreams. However, the resistance has turned this dream into a harsh reality, bewildering and humiliating the occupying state in front of the world that supports it, and breaking the security system that always claims superiority in the entire region, in addition to the Israeli political leadership.
The Israeli political leadership has failed to comprehend the details of this shock, as the element of surprise has become a clear collapse for every Gaza military unit and its special forces. Therefore, we expect three possible scenarios for the response:
Scenario
There is an expectation that the Zionist enemy may carry out a displacement operation, as previously happened in the Shujaiya neighborhood, but this time it may be wider, including the entire area along the border between the Gaza Strip and the buffer zone, through continuous artillery and aerial bombardment, and an urgent evacuation of the area by its residents. This includes targeting the infrastructure and shelling the homes of resistance leaders without prior warning, aiming to make civilians pay the price.
Scenario
The enemy might resort to striking where it left off in the Battle of Sword of Jerusalem in 2021, targeting key towers and government and private institutions affiliated with Hamas, such as universities, associations, and other institutions, as a means to erode the institutional existence of Hamas. This also includes targeting political leaders through assassination operations, as previously occurred with the top political echelon of Hamas.
Scenario
The enemy may opt for a widespread displacement operation of the population through artillery and aerial bombardment along the borderline to establish a larger buffer zone for protecting and fortifying the borders against penetration and infiltration. This also includes targeting the political and military leaders of the resistance, continuous shelling of towers and institutions affiliated with Hamas as a means of pressure to release the captives and make the resistance bear the price of this operation.
The third scenario is perhaps the most likely among the other scenarios, as it allows the occupying state to respond to the event's magnitude while preserving the non-expansion of the operation to multiple fronts, especially the northern front, which the Zionist enemy fears.